Colgate 
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 96.5029
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 A Penn State B1G (10- 4, 98.2) 9-14
208 A Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 95.8) 9-18
214 H Albany America East ( 7- 8, 93.2) 19-14
218 A Harvard Ivy (10- 4, 96.7) 19-15
222 A Villanova Big East ( 9- 6, 93.9) 16- 5
301 A Loyola Patriot ( 3-11, 93.3) 18- 6
308 A Lafayette Patriot (10- 6, 94.3) 19-14
315 H Bucknell Patriot ( 5- 9, 92.4) 17-18
322 A Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 97.5) 12-16
329 H Navy Patriot ( 8- 7, 93.9) 14- 9
405 H Army Patriot (12- 2, 97.9) 7-13
412 A Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 94.1) 9-12
419 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 4-11, 90.6) 15- 3
425 A Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.4) 12-14
429 A Lehigh Patriot ( 5-10, 94.1) 13-11
502 A Army Patriot (12- 2, 97.9) 16-13
504 N Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.4) 17-10
510 A Penn State B1G (10- 4, 98.2)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 A Penn State 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.47
208 A Virginia 9-18 -9 0 -- -4.87
214 H Albany 19-14 5 4 0.87
218 A Harvard 19-15 4 -1 ++ 5.04
222 A Villanova 16- 5 11 2 + 3.29
301 A Loyola 18- 6 12 2 + 2.64
308 A Lafayette 19-14 5 1 + 3.64
315 H Bucknell 17-18 -1 5 -- -5.94
322 A Syracuse 12-16 -4 -2 - -2.12
329 H Navy 14- 9 5 3 1.55
405 H Army 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.44
412 A Lehigh 9-12 -3 2 -- -4.56
419 H Holy Cross 15- 3 12 7 0.00
425 A Boston Univ 12-14 -2 0 - -2.26
429 A Lehigh 13-11 2 2 0.44
502 A Army 16-13 3 -2 ++ 5.28
504 N Boston Univ 17-10 7 1 + 3.89
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
208 A Virginia 9-18 -9 0 -- -4.87
315 H Bucknell 17-18 -1 5 -- -5.94
405 H Army 7-13 -6 -1 -- -4.44
412 A Lehigh 9-12 -3 2 -- -4.56
201 A Penn State 9-14 -5 -3 - -2.47
322 A Syracuse 12-16 -4 -2 - -2.12
425 A Boston Univ 12-14 -2 0 - -2.26
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
218 A Harvard 19-15 4 -1 ++ 5.04
502 A Army 16-13 3 -2 ++ 5.28
222 A Villanova 16- 5 11 2 + 3.29
301 A Loyola 18- 6 12 2 + 2.64
308 A Lafayette 19-14 5 1 + 3.64
504 N Boston Univ 17-10 7 1 + 3.89
|
Colgate Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Force |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
Albany |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
| |
Army |
Army |
|
tied - ( 6- 3) ( 6- 1) |
Army |
Bellarmine |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Binghamton |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Boston Univ |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   7- 3 vs 5- 3 |
|
Brown |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   3- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Bryant |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Colgate |
Bucknell |
Bucknell |
Bucknell |
 
|
Canisius |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Cleveland St |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Cornell |
Cornell |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 1) |
Cornell |
Dartmouth |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) |
Colgate |
Delaware |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Denver |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
Detroit |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Drexel |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Duke |
Duke |
|
Duke   3- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
Fairfield |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) |
Colgate |
Georgetown |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) |
Colgate |
Hampton |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Harvard |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
| |
High Point |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Colgate |
Hobart |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Colgate |
Hofstra |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Holy Cross |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
| |
Iona |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
Jacksonville |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
JHU |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) |
Colgate |
Lafayette |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
| |
Le Moyne |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Lehigh |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   7- 3 vs 4- 4 |
|
LIU |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Loyola |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
| |
Manhattan |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
Marist |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Marquette |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Maryland |
Maryland |
|
Maryland   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
UMass |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) |
Colgate |
Mass-Lowell |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Mercer |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
Mercyhurst |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Merrimack |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Colgate |
Michigan |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Colgate |
Monmouth |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
Mt St Marys |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Navy |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
| |
NJIT |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
No Carolina |
No Carolina |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) |
No Carolina |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Notre Dame |
Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
Ohio State   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Penn |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Colgate |
Penn State |
Penn State |
Penn State |
 
| |
Princeton |
Princeton |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) |
Princeton |
Providence |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
Queens |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
Quinnipiac |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Richmond |
Richmond |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) |
Richmond |
Rob Morris |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
Rutgers |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 2) |
Colgate |
Sacred Heart |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Colgate |
Siena |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
St B'venture |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
St Johns |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Colgate |
St Josephs |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Colgate |
Stony Brook |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Syracuse |
Syracuse |
Syracuse |
 
| |
Towson |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
Colgate |
UMBC |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Colgate |
Utah |
Colgate |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Colgate |
Vermont |
Colgate |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Colgate |
Villanova |
Colgate |
Colgate |
 
| |
Virginia |
Virginia |
Virginia |
 
| |
VMI |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Wagner |
Colgate |
|
 
| Colgate |
Yale |
Colgate |
|
Colgate   4- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
PowerWise = 63

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Penn State (10- 4, 98.2) 9-14 -1.72 17.09 0.86 0.84 -0.73
0 A Virginia ( 6- 8, 95.8) 9-18 -4.13 14.68 0.86 0.84 -2.76
0 H Albany ( 7- 8, 93.2) 19-14 -6.67 12.14 -0.86 0.84 9.52
0 A Harvard (10- 4, 96.7) 19-15 -3.21 15.60 0.86 0.84 13.88
0 A Villanova ( 9- 6, 93.9) 16- 5 -5.96 12.85 0.86 0.84 11.56
0 A Loyola ( 3-11, 93.3) 18- 6 -6.61 12.20 0.86 0.84 11.02
0 A Lafayette (10- 6, 94.3) 19-14 -5.61 13.20 0.86 0.84 11.86
0 H Bucknell ( 5- 9, 92.4) 17-18 -7.47 11.34 -0.86 0.84 -7.03
0 A Syracuse (11- 5, 97.5) 12-16 -2.37 16.44 0.86 0.84 -1.28
0 H Navy ( 8- 7, 93.9) 14- 9 -5.99 12.83 -0.86 0.84 10.09
0 H Army (12- 2, 97.9) 7-13 -1.98 16.84 -0.86 0.84 -2.39
0 A Lehigh ( 5-10, 94.1) 9-12 -5.81 13.00 0.86 0.84 -4.18
0 H Holy Cross ( 4-11, 90.6) 15- 3 -9.34 9.47 -0.86 0.84 7.26
0 A Boston Univ (11- 5, 95.4) 12-14 -4.51 14.30 0.86 0.84 -3.08
0 A Lehigh ( 5-10, 94.1) 13-11 -5.81 13.00 0.86 0.84 11.69
0 A Army (12- 2, 97.9) 16-13 -1.98 16.84 0.86 0.84 14.92
0 N Boston Univ (11- 5, 95.4) 17-10 -4.51 14.30 -0.00 0.84 12.06
------
92.42
|
winning pts = 113.8607 losing points = -21.4434
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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